AC Milan vs Lecce

AC Milan have been resilient in Serie A, securing a win against Venezia on August 28 before holding both Juventus on September 6 and Lazio on September 12 to draws. Their goalkeeper Mike Maignan has conceded 5 goals over the matches we hold player statistics for, while in the most recent match against Benfica, the side struggled to find the net. Lecce enter this fixture following a 3:2 win over Monza on September 13, a result that followed a 0:1 defeat against Cagliari on September 7 and a 0:4 loss to AS Roma on August 31. Wladimiro Falcone has been the best-rated player for Lecce over the listed matches, performing a high volume of saves, while their attack has relied on Lassana Coulibaly and Tiago Gabriel.

AC Milan have been dominant in their recent history against Lecce, winning all four of their last meetings. This includes a 3:0 home victory in September 2024 and a narrow 1:0 win at home in January 2026.

• AC Milan have clearly more of the ball on average, while Lecce have recorded slightly less of the ball over their matches.
• Lecce must manage without W. Geubbels, who is ruled out, and M. Berisha and O. Gandelman, who are in doubt.
• Mike Maignan has 12 saves over the listed matches for AC Milan, contrasting with the 29 saves recorded by Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce.
• AC Milan have been more prolific in the second half, scoring 7 goals across the matches where timeline data is held.

AC Milan look better placed to control the tempo of this match, particularly given their recent domestic form and the historical edge they hold over Lecce. While Wladimiro Falcone has been active for Lecce with 29 saves over the listed matches, the away side may struggle to contain an AC Milan attack that features Adrien Rabiot and his three goal contributions over the listed matches. We lean towards a positive result for the home side.